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Omega Investment Co., Ltd.

SUMIDA CORPORATION (Company note – 2Q update)

Share price (8/24) ¥1,227 Dividend Yield (12/26 CE) 4.3 %
52weeks high/low ¥1,626/1,028 ROE(12/25) 6.0 %
Avg Vol (3 month)  311.0 thou shrs Operating margin (12/25) 5.1 %
Market Cap ¥40.67 bn Beta (5Y Monthly) 1.02
Enterprise Value ¥102.01 bn Shares Outstanding 33.148 mn shrs
PER (12/26 CE) 11.12 X Listed market TSE Prime section
PBR (12/25 act) 0.64 X    
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Revenue remains on an upward trend, but the Company recorded product compensation provisions for certain products. It aims to make up ground in the second half.

◇Highlights of the results for the second quarter (first half) of FY12/2026: earnings deteriorated due to product compensation provisions

The results for the second quarter (first half) of FY12/2026 that SUMIDA CORPORATION (the “Company”) announced on July 31, 2026, showed double-digit YoY growth in revenue. However, a quality issue occurred in certain products for automotive-related applications, and the Company took financial measures, including recording product compensation provisions of approximately 1.0 billion yen for amounts expected to arise in the future, resulting in a substantial decline in profit.

Revenue for the first half was 79.86 billion yen (up 12.2% YoY), operating profit was 1.91 billion yen (down 43.2% YoY), and interim profit before income taxes was 0.57 billion yen (down 73.7% YoY). Interim profit attributable to owners of the parent was 0.24 billion yen (down 85.6% YoY).

The key points of these results are as follows.

First, the quality issue appears to be limited to specific products, and from a financial perspective, the Company swiftly recorded provisions, including expected future amounts, related to inventory disposal and sorting. In light of this matter, the Company is fundamentally and comprehensively reviewing its quality assurance system and proceeding with improvements. Therefore, the risk that the foundation of the Company’s business, namely contract manufacturing of custom products, will be shaken can be regarded as low.

Second, underlying operating profit was solid. As shown in the following chart, first-half operating profit of 1.91 billion yen increased by approximately 0.1 billion yen YoY on an underlying basis, excluding temporary factors. Improved capacity utilization driven by revenue growth and cost reductions steadily materialized, offsetting the delayed launch of mass production for acquired projects and the impact of a stronger Chinese yuan and weaker U.S. dollar. The performance of Schmidbauer, which the Company acquired in the previous fiscal year, is also solid.

Source: Company materials

Third, megatrends are driving the Company’s revenue growth, namely growth in xEV-related areas in China and Europe and growth in data center-related areas in North America.

Inventory trends have remained stable. Inventory turnover days were 88 days in the most recent quarter and have been almost flat for three quarters. On the other hand, CCC was 93 days, a decrease (improvement) compared with the immediately preceding quarter.

Source: Company materials

◇FY12/2026 earnings forecast: unchanged. The Company aims to make up ground through the swift launch of mass production for acquired projects, price revisions, and cost control

The full-year earnings forecast remains unchanged. The forecasts are revenue of 156.00 billion yen (up 6.0% YoY), operating profit of 7.50 billion yen (up 0.8% YoY), profit before income taxes of 4.85 billion yen (up 0.4% YoY), and profit attributable to owners of the parent of 3.65 billion yen (up 0.9% YoY). Basic earnings per share remain unchanged at 110.40 yen, and the annual dividend per share is 53 yen.

The hurdle for this full-year plan is not low. Although the tailwinds from megatrends confirmed in the first half are expected to continue in the second half, factors such as foreign exchange, copper prices, and other cost increases are expected. For this reason, the Company aims to make up ground by swiftly launching mass production for acquired projects and improving its sales mix, proceeding with raw material price negotiations and reflecting them in selling prices, and continuing management efforts such as cost control.

Source: Company materials

◇Topics: joint development of next-generation power conversion systems with Germany’s Infineon

On July 31, 2026, the Company announced the joint development of next-generation power conversion systems with Germany’s Infineon. By combining Infineon’s power semiconductor technology with the Company’s expertise in high-performance magnetic components, the two companies will jointly develop medium-frequency transformers (MFTs), core components of Solid-State Transformer (SST) systems expected to become next-generation power conversion technology. Compared with conventional transformers, this technology is expected to provide smaller size and lighter weight, reduced power loss, enhanced bidirectional power transmission capabilities (realizing efficient smart grids), and high flexibility, thereby responding to requirements such as AI data centers, ultra-fast charging infrastructure, and the modernization of power transmission and distribution grids. Future progress will attract attention.

Source: Company materials

◇Stock price trends and points to watch going forward

The Company’s share price has followed a gradual long-term upward trend and hit a recent high of 1,626 yen on June 5, 2026. However, it subsequently turned downward, falling to 1,121 yen immediately after the announcement of these results, and has recently recovered to the 1,200-yen range. The long-term upward trend has been maintained. Given a PER based on the Company’s forecast of 12x, a PBR of 0.69x, and a forecast dividend yield of 4.0%, downside risk for the share price is limited, and the current share price appears to be in a phase of waiting for an improvement in earnings and ROE.

Based on the above, the points to watch going forward are as follows.

  • Fundamental resolution of the quality issue: the quality issue this time is conclusively resolved as an individual case and does not hinder the acquisition of strategic projects going forward.
  • A recovery toward achieving the FY12/2026 full-year forecast: the swift launch of mass production for acquired projects and efforts to improve the sales mix, raw material price negotiations and their reflection in selling prices, and continued management efforts such as cost control will progress as the Company intends, leading to progress in the earnings recovery.
  • Continuous accumulation of acquired projects: newly acquired projects, which are a leading indicator of the Company’s medium-term earnings, should steadily accumulate in line with the Mid-Term Business Plan. Specifically, the status of project wins in xEV-related, solar power generation-related, and AI data center-related areas will attract attention. We would also like to see synergy effects with Schmidbauer.
  • Whether FY12/2027 earnings will begin to accelerate: growth should accelerate toward the targets of the “Mid-Term Business Plan 2026-2028,” namely revenue of 190.0 billion yen, operating profit of 13.5 billion yen, and ROE of 8.4% or higher. We would like to see this become a catalyst for the share price to move toward a PBR of 1x, adding momentum to its upward trend.

Attention must also be paid to fluctuations in exchange rates and in the prices of key raw materials, such as copper.

Company profile

Since its founding in 1950, the Company has been a global leader in designing and manufacturing coil-related components and modules for more than 75 years. Leveraging strengths such as advanced technical design capabilities, proprietary manufacturing know-how, broad application versatility, and a global production structure, the Company engages in contract manufacturing of custom-made coils for major customers worldwide under a Made in Market model. Its business is appropriately diversified across both geography and market segments.

In recent years, the Company has grown earnings in “green energy-related” fields, but as business uncertainty has increased, it experienced a temporary pause in earnings. However, it has moved quickly to improve its cost structure and has also made progress in capturing external growth through the acquisition of Schmidbauer, placing earnings on a recovery track.

In 2026, the Company announced that it would promote the Niche-Top Strategy over the long term and, for the time being, announced the Mid-Term Business Plan 2026-2028. Based on its favorable cost structure, the Company aims to translate a broad range of megatrends into projects, including green energy-related fields, power grids, means of transportation, data centers, healthcare, robotics, and other fields, and to lay the groundwork for product development aimed at becoming a niche-top player. Its commitment to improving capital efficiency is also clear.

The share price has maintained its long-term upward trend, and if ROE in the 8% range becomes visible, PBR exceeding 1x can be expected first.

Key financial data

Unit: million yen 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
CE
Sales 104,920 138,600 147,672 143,978 147,194 156,000
EBIT (Operating Income) 5,669 7,983 8,829 5,633 8,084  
Pretax Income 3,898 6,534 5,856 1,295 4,830 4,850
Net Profit Attributable to Owner of Parent 2,629 5,099 5,064 590 3,618 3,650
Cash & Short-Term Investments 4,237 2,944 3,107 4,286 6,129  
Total assets 117,725 134,846 142,786 147,766 163,656  
Total Debt 54,763 58,546 57,198 57,975 64,023  
Net Debt 50,526 55,602 54,091 53,689 57,894  
Total liabilities 77,622 85,966 85,471 86,849 98,298  
Total Shareholders’ Equity 38,338 46,829 55,056 58,648 62,008  
Net Operating Cash Flow 600 10,566 18,343 14,928 16,457  
Capital Expenditure 6,737 9,174 10,914 9,005 7,347  
Net Investing Cash Flow -6,712 -8,174 -10,702 -8,834 -12,886  
Net Financing Cash Flow 4,751 -4,130 -7,782 -5,268 -1,958  
Free Cash Flow -5,212 2,362 8,539 7,068 10,224  
ROA (%) 2.44 4.04 3.65 0.41 2.32  
ROE (%) 7.37 11.98 9.94 1.04 6.00  
EPS (Yen) 96.7 187.5 167.4 17.9 109.4 110.4
BPS (Yen) 1,409.8 1,722.1 1,687.4 1,774.6 1,875.5  
Dividend per Share (Yen) 28.00 47.00 51.00 53.00 53.00 53.00
Shares Outstanding (Million shares) 27.44 27.44 32.88 33.10 33.11  

Source: Calculated by Omega Investment based on FactSet’s standard criteria, rounded to the nearest whole number.

Share price

Financial data (quarterly basis)

Unit: million yen 2024/12 2025/12 2026/12
  2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q
(Income Statement)                  
Sales 36,752 36,470 34,442 35,390 35,780 36,906 39,118 38,428 41,430
Year-on-year -2.4% -3.3% -6.3% -2.5% -2.6% 1.2% 13.6% 8.6% 15.8%
Cost of Goods Sold (COGS) 32,263 31,656 30,037 31,007 30,524 31,618 33,121 33,501 36,218
Gross Income 4,489 4,814 4,405 4,383 5,256 5,288 5,997 4,927 5,212
Gross Income Margin 12.2% 13.2% 12.8% 12.4% 14.7% 14.3% 15.3% 12.8% 12.6%
SG&A Expense 3,353 3,091 2,713 3,151 3,059 3,154 3,476 3,472 3,728
EBIT (Operating Income) 1,136 1,723 1,692 1,232 2,197 2,134 2,521 1,455 1,484
Year-on-year -56.2% -40.1% 47.3% 14.0% 93.4% 23.9% 49.0% 18.1% -32.5%
Operating Income Margin 3.1% 4.7% 4.9% 3.5% 6.1% 5.8% 6.4% 3.8% 3.6%
EBITDA 3,956 4,552 4,439 3,809 5,618 4,662 5,876 4,328 4,405
Pretax Income 268 951 -389 802 1,372 1,455 1,201 900 -329
Consolidated Net Income 114 710 -703 580 1,053 965 984 743 -478
Minority Interest -23 -46 -52 -5 -29 -45 44 16 9
Net Income ATOP 137 756 -652 585 1,082 1,010 941 726 -486
Year-on-year -93.3% -30.2% -192.9% 68.1% 689.8% 33.6% -244.3% 24.1% -144.9%
Net Income Margin 0.4% 2.1% -1.9% 1.7% 3.0% 2.7% 2.4% 1.9% -1.2%
                   
(Balance Sheet)                  
Cash & Short-Term Investments 5,156 4,750 4,286 6,087 5,429 12,256 6,129 6,527 6,027
Total assets 159,600 143,335 147,766 144,110 142,062 151,308 163,656 164,914 169,005
Total Debt 65,509 58,303 57,975 58,367 57,039 62,193 64,023 67,548 66,991
Net Debt 60,353 53,553 53,689 52,280 51,610 49,937 57,894 61,021 60,964
Total liabilities 95,474 85,403 86,849 85,709 83,098 90,181 98,298 100,941 104,162
Total Shareholders’ Equity 61,653 55,751 58,648 56,205 56,801 58,947 62,008 62,757 63,606
                   
(Profitability %)                  
ROA 1.46 1.33 0.41 0.56 1.17 1.38 2.32 2.43 1.41
ROE 3.74 3.32 1.04 1.45 2.99 3.53 6.00 6.32 3.64
(Per-share) Unit: JPY                  
EPS 4.2 22.9 -19.7 17.7 32.7 30.6 28.5 21.9 -14.7
BPS 1,867.5 1,687.0 1,774.6 1,700.6 1,718.1 1,783.0 1,875.5 1,896.0 1,921.6
Dividend per Share 26.00 0.00 27.00 0.00 26.00 0.00 27.00 0.00 26.00
Shares Outstanding (million shares) 33.04 33.10 33.10 33.10 33.11 33.11 33.11 33.15 33.15

Source: Calculated by Omega Investment based on FactSet’s standard criteria, rounded to the nearest whole number.

Financial data (full-year basis)

Unit: million yen 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
(Income Statement)                    
Sales 81,052 90,153 97,538 94,283 84,417 104,920 138,600 147,672 143,978 147,194
Year-on-year -6.0% 11.2% 8.2% -3.3% -10.5% 24.3% 32.1% 6.5% -2.5% 2.2%
Cost of Goods Sold 66,191 75,019 82,192 81,414 73,319 89,563 119,298 126,561 125,970 126,270
Gross Income 14,861 15,134 15,346 12,869 11,098 15,357 19,302 21,111 18,008 20,924
Gross Income Margin 18.3% 16.8% 15.7% 13.6% 13.1% 14.6% 13.9% 14.3% 12.5% 14.2%
SG&A Expense 8,507 8,837 9,694 9,330 8,798 9,688 11,319 12,282 12,375 12,840
EBIT (Operating Income) 6,354 6,297 5,652 3,539 2,300 5,669 7,983 8,829 5,633 8,084
Year-on-year 50.0% -0.9% -10.2% -37.4% -35.0% 146.5% 40.8% 10.6% -36.2% 43.5%
Operating Income Margin 7.8% 7.0% 5.8% 3.8% 2.7% 5.4% 5.8% 6.0% 3.9% 5.5%
EBITDA 9,251 9,574 9,660 8,848 8,247 12,337 16,103 18,190 16,655 19,965
Pretax Income 5,469 5,697 4,061 2,184 1,470 3,898 6,534 5,856 1,295 4,830
Consolidated Net Income 3,844 4,628 2,531 1,596 839 2,695 5,168 5,102 434 3,582
Minority Interest 178 123 110 13 11 66 68 37 -156 -35
Net Income ATOP 3,666 4,504 2,420 1,582 828 2,629 5,099 5,064 590 3,618
Year-on-year 80.4% 22.9% -46.3% -34.6% -47.7% 217.5% 94.0% -0.7% -88.3% 513.2%
Net Income Margin 4.5% 5.0% 2.5% 1.7% 1.0% 2.5% 3.7% 3.4% 0.4% 2.5%
                     
(Balance Sheet)                    
Cash & Short-Term Investments 3,546 5,375 4,098 3,286 5,237 4,237 2,944 3,107 4,286 6,129
Total assets 69,007 84,366 94,277 96,561 98,063 117,725 134,846 142,786 147,766 163,656
Total Debt 30,611 35,836 40,206 43,646 44,586 54,763 58,546 57,198 57,975 64,023
Net Debt 27,065 30,461 36,108 40,360 39,349 50,526 55,602 54,091 53,689 57,894
Total liabilities 46,982 54,242 58,835 61,963 63,503 77,622 85,966 85,471 86,849 98,298
Total Shareholders’ Equity 20,629 28,570 33,829 33,013 32,990 38,338 46,829 55,056 58,648 62,008
                     
(Cash Flow)                    
Net Operating Cash Flow 8,291 3,658 4,672 8,732 9,107 600 10,566 18,343 14,928 16,457
Capital Expenditure 5,024 9,511 9,610 8,302 6,765 6,737 9,174 10,914 9,005 7,347
Net Investing Cash Flow -4,961 -9,254 -15,153 -8,133 -6,669 -6,712 -8,174 -10,702 -8,834 -12,886
Net Financing Cash Flow -3,016 7,389 9,477 -1,261 -447 4,751 -4,130 -7,782 -5,268 -1,958
Free Cash Flow 3,941 -5,173 -3,769 1,379 3,118 -5,212 2,362 8,539 7,068 10,224
                     
(Profitability )                    
ROA (%) 5.36 5.87 2.71 1.66 0.85 2.44 4.04 3.65 0.41 2.32
ROE (%) 19.27 18.31 7.76 4.74 2.51 7.37 11.98 9.94 1.04 6.00
Net Margin (%) 4.52 5.00 2.48 1.68 0.98 2.51 3.68 3.43 0.41 2.46
Asset Turn 1.18 1.18 1.09 0.99 0.87 0.97 1.10 1.06 0.99 0.95
Assets/Equity 3.60 3.12 2.86 2.86 2.95 3.03 2.97 2.72 2.56 2.58
(Per-share) Unit: JPY                    
EPS 157.9 176.4 90.2 58.3 30.5 96.7 187.5 167.4 17.9 109.4
BPS 888.8 1,069.6 1,250.0 1,216.1 1,213.7 1,409.8 1,722.1 1,687.4 1,774.6 1,875.5
Dividend per Share 34.00 45.00 27.00 24.00 9.00 28.00 47.00 51.00 53.00 53.00
Shares Outstanding (million shares) 23.94 27.44 27.44 27.44 27.44 27.44 27.44 32.88 33.10 33.11

Source: Calculated by Omega Investment based on FactSet’s standard criteria, rounded to the nearest whole number.